The most important for the
economic situation in the European Union (EU) is:
1. A misconception about the
current economic situation is popular.
2. The decline in Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) is not an absolute law for an economic crisis.
Manipulated GDP is an equivalent criterion for an economic crisis.
3. The economic crisis is a
stage in the economy in (1) GDP manipulation and / or (2) GDP decline. It has
two possible phases.
The disguised economic crisis is the first phase.
Lowered base interest rates provide
manipulated GDP. The increase in total GDP hides the decline in market GDP.
In line with market economy
principles, the conclusion is: The manipulated GDP growth is a sign of a hidden
economic crisis.
The International Monetary
Fund, the World Bank, ministers and others are now neglecting the substance of
manipulated GDP. There is a public misconception about the absolute utility of
manipulated GDP. The market economy is degrading. The government is a victim of
the central bank. The prime minister will fail.
The perceived economic crisis is the second phase. It is in decline
of GDP.
How did the EU economic crisis start?
The causes of the crisis are
many. The good news is - the root cause of the current economic crisis has been
discovered.
The European Central Bank (ECB)
is introducing the euro. The use of the currency has good and bad consequences.
The worst are the damage caused by debt crises.
Two approaches to euro
introduction are feasible:
First: The introduction of the euro without public opposition to
the worst consequences.
Second: The introduction of the euro with public opposition to the
worst consequences.
It is now without public
opposition to the worst effects of the euro. The emergence of a global mistake
by central banks in the EU is a major cause of European damage. Eurozone
governments are forced to borrow to pay for ECB damage.
Example: If the euro had public opposition to the worst effects -
the eurozone governments would have no current debt.
The ECB introduced a lowered
base interest rate for the euro to stimulate European GDP. This euro interest
rate provided a manipulated European GDP. Total European GDP has masked the
decline in market-based European GDP.
A European disguised economic
crisis has arisen.
The European Commission ignores
the wrong introduction of the euro. Now European damage is multiplying. Brexit,
the situations in France and other European countries are facts of malignant
problems. With government loans, the cessation of useful government spending,
and other things, it is possible to temporarily delay the development of a
relevant economic crisis. The same leads to further inflated damages.
The EU options are:
First: Incorrect euro introduction causes damaging damage. The
European economic crisis is growing. ECB failure causes further damage.
Second: Salvation from an economic crisis is achievable.
A properly prosperous EU
requires the proper introduction of the euro.
Ivan Mitev - economist
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